After a difficult November, you're writing off UNO's postseason chances, right? Wrong. UNO is actually 25th in the Pairwise Rankings, winning six comparisons so far.
How can that be with UNO's 4-7-4 record? Don't you need a winning season even to be ranked in the PWR? No, as Pairwise wizard Jeff Baker reminded me over the weekend -- you only need your RPI to be over .500 since the tournament criteria were altered a couple of years ago. Your RPI turns more on your opponents' records and their opponents' records than it does on your own record. And UNO has played some pretty tough competition. UNO actually wins its pairwise comparison with Notre Dame by virtue of having played a much tougher schedule.
Now, let's be clear: UNO has to win 10 more pairwise comparisons to even be on the bubble for the tourney -- and that will require beating, not just playing, good teams. But UNO's not out of it yet -- if it can stabilize its play in its defensive end and get the kind of goaltending that it got Saturday out of Dupont, this team still has a good chance to reach the NCAA tournament.
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